Who is now in charge in Russia?

The recent summit meeting between Chinese president Xi Jinping and US president Biden represents more that simply a friendly meeting. It represents the resumption of harmonious relations between China and the US.

In the words of president Xi Jinping (cf. video below),

"The Chinese - US relations, which is the most important bilateral relationship in the world, should be perceived, and envisioned, in a broad context of the accelerating global transformations unseen in a century. It should develop in a way that benefits our two peoples and fulfills our responsibility for human progress." (Michael A. Cohen : MSNBC : 17 November 2023) (my emphasis) 

MSNBC : 17 November 2023

What must have stuck in the craw of Putin is Xi Jinping's statement that US-China relations are, "... the most important bilateral relationship in the world".

So much for the relations between Russia and China, which Putin has so assiduously cultivated since his recent 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

 In a post summit statement US president Biden also informed us that,

"[President Xi Jinping] has been straight .... The thing that I find most assuring is that he raised, and I fully agree, that if either one of us have any concern .... a concern about anything between our nations or happening in our region, we should pick up the phone and call one another and we would take the call" (ibid  Michael A. Cohen :  video below)

 MSNBC : 17 November 2023

Adding to Putin [Pu-truschev?] angrily choking on the resumption of harmonious relations between China and the US, Alexander Butler and Andy Gregory (right) report that,

"Russia is suffering “particularly heavy losses” on the Donetsk frontline as it seeks to capture the tactically key city of Avdiivka, with fighting continuing to rage in Kupiansk and at the Dnipro River, the UK’s Ministry of Defence has said.

And Vladimir Putin has lost around a brigade’s worth of forces at the Dnipro River since Ukraine first began attacking its eastern bank, where it now claims to have secured a foothold, according to the US-based Institute for the Study of War think-tank." (The Independent : 18 November 2023) (my emphasis)

Compounding Putin's anger at these losses, AP News reports that,

"Germany’s aid for Ukraine will be “massively expanded” next year, the foreign minister said Monday as Kyiv heads into its second winter since Russia launched its full-scale invasion.
.....
Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock (left) said as she arrived Monday at a meeting with European Union counterparts that, even as Europe grapples with the war between Israel and Hamas, it’s still important to “face the geopolitical challenge here.” " (AP News : 13 November 2023) (my emphasis)

So whilst Putin [Pu-truschev?] may believe that the current crises in the Middle East has somewhat eclipsed international news about his war with Ukraine, Dan Peleschuk and Olena Harmash, Kylie MacLellan and Muvija M, report that,

"Britain's Foreign Secretary David Cameron (right), on his first trip abroad in his new role, met Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy in Kyiv and also travelled to the southern port city of Odesa, a regular target of Russian air strikes.
....
"What I want to say by being here is that we will continue to give you the moral support, the diplomatic support... but above all the military support that you need not just this year and next year, but however long it takes," Cameron said in a video posted by Zelenskiy's office on Thursday. (Reuters : 16 November 2023) (my emphasis)

Reuters : 16 November 2023

And as winter begins to appear on the horizon, Olena Harmash (left) reports that,

" Ukraine's state-owned Naftogaz said on Friday its gas subsidiary had discovered a 'promising' new natural gas deposit in the west of the country.

CEO Oleksiy Chernyshov said the find was another step in the oil and gas company's strategy to increase domestic production as Russia's war on Ukraine resets Kyiv's energy strategy.
.....
CEO Oleksiy Chernyshov said the find was another step in the oil and gas company's strategy to increase domestic production as Russia's war on Ukraine resets Kyiv's energy strategy." (Reuters : 17 November 2023) (my emphasis)

Which has rather put a spike in Putin's plans to yet again freeze the citizens of Ukraine during the coming winter.

As reported by Sinéad Baker (right),

"Ukraine and its allies have warned that Russia looks set to continue the tactic it adopted last winter — notably targeting Ukraine's power and water infrastructure with missiles.

That tactic killed many people and led to Ukraine setting up heating points for its citizens.

The UK's defense ministry said last month that Russia appeared to be stockpiling cruise missiles to use against Ukraine's energy infrastructure over the winter. (Business Insider : 13 November 2023) (my emphasis)

Perhaps the most telling indicator of Putin's [Pu-truschev's] fears about Ukraine's advancement against his Russian soldiers comes from the fact that,

"Three of Russia’s border regions and invaded territories, including occupied Crimea, have annulled festivities including large crowds and fireworks.

But this year festivities will be curtailed as Sergey Aksyonov, occupation ruler of Crimea, said: ‘There are no plans to hold large public events in the republic of Crimea for the New Year and Christmas.
....
‘The main priority is safety – but, of course, we will do everything necessary to create a festive mood for Crimeans.

‌’New Year holidays for children will be held in a limited format. Christmas trees will be installed and the streets will be decorated in public areas.’ (Katie Boyden : Metro : 14 November 2023) (my emphasis)

The current catastrophic failures of Putin's [Pu-truschev's] army in his war with Ukraine, together with the resumption of harmonious relations between China and the US, signals that something serious is afoot in the corridors of the Kremlin.

Which poses the question :-

"Who is now in charge in Russia?" 

UPDATE 1 : 20 November 2023

Athena Stavrou and Andy Gregory report that,

"Vladimir Putin will set out Russia’s view of the “deeply unstable world situation” in a shock G20 speech this week, the Kremlin has said, as Ukraine claimed growing numbers of Moscow’s troops were deserting the frontline in Donetsk.

Ukraine’s military has been bracing for a “third wave” of Russian assaults on the key city of Avdiivka – but a spokesperson claimed Moscow was being forced to rely increasingly on penal recruits and reservists due to its soldiers refusing to take part in casualty-heavy assaults." (The Independent : 20 November 2023) (my emphasis)

Furthermore, as reported by Haley Britzky,

"US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin (right) arrived in Kyiv on Monday, in a surprise trip to Ukraine to reemphasize the US’ support for the embattled country amid other pressing challenges abroad.

“The message that I bring you today, Mr. President, is the United States of America is with you,” Austin told Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. “We will remain with you for the long-haul. What happened here in Ukraine – that not only matters to Ukraine but it matters to the rest of the world. It certainly matters to the United States of America.” (CNN : 20 November 2023) (my emphasis)

Putin's [Pu-truschev's] sudden decision to address the world comes as James Kilner (left) reports that,

"Ukraine says it has pushed Russian forces back up to five miles (8km) from the Dnipro River after establishing bridgeheads on its eastern bank.

If confirmed, the strategic advance would be one of the most significant in recent months after little gains from either side in the war in Ukraine.

Kyiv says its forces are now battling for control of three Russian-occupied villages south of the river.

A win there would not only be an important military breakthrough but also offer an important morale-boost ahead of winter." (The Telegraph : 19 November 2023) (my emphasis)

Putin [Pu-truschev]  now seems finally to be slowly raising the flag of surrender under the devastating advances of the Ukraine's armed forces.

 

(to be continued)

Is it Putin or Pu-trushev?

As the war between Israel and Hamas continues to dominate the international headlines, Putin has been forced to choose between support for Hamas and support for Israel.

Timothy Snyder explains that,

"There is good reason ... to believe that Russia is rejoicing in [the war between Israel and Hamas].... Russia is glad to see Israel suffer ... is glad to see the US put in a difficult position as he [Putin] sees it ..." (MSNBC : 3 November 2023) (my emphasis)

MSNBC : 3 November 2023

As also reported by Holly Ellyatt (left),

"Russia has always enjoyed constructive relations with Israel, with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Israel’s Premier Benjamin Netanyahu enjoying a close relationship and vowing to deepen Israeli-Russian ties.

In recent years, however, Russia has become extremely close with Israel’s arch-enemy Iran and has become even more reliant on Tehran since its invasion of Ukraine in 2022, relying on the country (among other rogue states) for weapons, predominantly drones, for use in the war. (CNBC : 8 November 2023) (my emphasis)

Hindustan Times : 27 October 2023 : YouTube

Holly Ellyat goes on to report that,

“When it comes down to it, if you think of who Russia really needs, it needs Iran, not least as a continued source of military material, but it also needs Saudi [Arabia] because the two of them together can to a large extent dominate oil pricing globally. In that context, it’s having to sacrifice Israel.” (ibid Holly Ellyatt)

On the oil front, however, Stephanie Stacey and Ian Johnston (left) report that,

"Oil prices tumbled to the lowest in more than three months on Tuesday, reversing all gains made since Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, with hedge funds betting that the conflict will not draw in oil-rich neighbouring countries.
...
“Many [traders] got burnt” last year after overestimating the scale of disruption to oil supplies following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, said Croft. “[So] they want to see that risk really materialise before they start pricing that in . . . I think there are still significant risks, but market participants have decided to move on.” (Financial Times : 7 November 2023) (my emphasis)

Putin must be fuming at this fall in the international price of oil, which simply adds to his economic woes as the Russian economy continues to implode under the weight of the cost of Putin's war with Ukraine.

Adding to Putin's woes in his war with Ukraine, Sakura Murakami and John Geddie report that,

"G7 support for Ukraine in its war with Russia will not be affected by the intensifying Middle East conflict, Japan said on Tuesday as the group's foreign ministers prepared to hold virtual talks with Kyiv during a meeting in Tokyo.
...

"Our commitment to continue strict sanctions against Russia and strong support for Ukraine has not wavered at all, even as the situation in the Middle East intensifies," Japan's foreign minister Yoko Kamikawa (left) told a press conference." (Reuters : 8 November 2023) (my emphasis)

Furthermore, as reported by Tim McNulty  (right),

"Moment 'Putin's newest warship is destroyed by Ukrainian missile strike at Crimean shipyard'
..
Dramatic new footage suggests Vladimir Putin has lost another warship - this time one of his most modern - in yet another missile strike by Ukrainian forces this past weekend.

Huge explosions struck the Askold - a Karakurt or 'Black Widow' class corvette - in the Zaliv shipyard in annexed Crimea on Saturday night. (Mail Online : 7 November 2023) (my emhasis)

As also reported by Gabriela Baczynska and Tom Balmforth,

"The European Union executive will recommend on Wednesday that the bloc open membership negotiations with Kyiv once it meets outstanding conditions, two EU officials said on Monday, more than 20 months since Russia invaded Ukraine.
...
"The consensus is clear," said a senior French diplomat, adding that support for Ukraine remained "very solid" in the EU and the bloc could not afford to lose out against Russia." (Reuters : 6 November 2023) (my emphasis)

Euronews : 2 November 2023

Pacing angrily around in his bunker, Putin simply cannot understand 'Why?'  support for Ukraine in its war with him simply cannot be eclipsed by what is currently happening in the Middle East.

What Putin simply cannot understand is how,

• the G7 is underscoring their commitment to continue strict sanctions against Russia and strong support for Ukraine, which has not wavered at all, even as the situation in the Middle East intensifies (cf : Sakura Murakami and John Geddie) , and that
  
• support for Ukraine remained "very solid" in the EU and the bloc could not afford to lose out against Russia." (cf : Gabriela Baczynska and Tom Balmforth)

Is it because it is really not Putin supporting Hamas, or continuing with his war against Ukraine, but rather  Pu-trushev i.e. the doppelganger image of Putin with the voice of Nikolai Patrushev (left)?

 

                      

 

(to be continued)

Has the Israel - Hamas war emboldened Putin in his war with Ukraine?

Having dragged their feet in supplying President Zelensky with the necessary arms that he needed to expel Putin's invading army from Ukraine since February of 2022, the US and the EU now find themselves somewhat tied up in political knots in the face of the recent Hamas invasion of Israel.

As reported by Andrew Buncombe (left),

"Joe Biden has suffered a setback after Republicans passed a bill to provide aid to Israel alone rather than link it to funding for Ukraine and other security measures.

In a flexing of his political muscles by new House Speaker Mike Johnson, just a week after he was sworn in, Republicans ignored Mr Biden’s pleas and passed a measure that provides $14.3 billion." (The Daily Telegraph on MSN.com : 3 November 2023 ) (my emphasis) 

 CBS News : 1 November 2023 : YouTube

In similar vein, as reported by Joseph Trevithick (right),

 "More than five months after the possibility of Germany supplying air-launched Taurus KEPD 350 cruise missiles to Ukraine was first put forward, authorities in Berlin have yet to move forward with such a plan. However, if or when that decision is made, it will take around six more months to modify Ukrainian Su-24 Fencer swing-wing strike jets to carry them and train the crews of those aircraft to employ them ..." (The War Zone on Yahoo News.com : 2 November 2023) (my emphasis)

To politically 'mollify' President Zelensky, as reported by Gabriela Baczynska and Ferenc Gaal,

"German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock (left) said on Thursday she was confident that the European Union next month would advance Ukraine's bid to join the bloc at a summit seen as a key milestone in Kyiv's efforts to integrate with the West." (Reuters : 2 November 2023) (my emphasis)

And whilst Annalena Baerbock is 'confident' that ALL EU members would advance Ukraine's bid to join the bloc, Pavel Polityuk, Marek Strzelecki and Karol Badohal report that,

"Polish truckers will block several border crossings with Ukraine starting next week in protest at what they say is Ukrainian hauliers' free rein in Poland that is hurting their business, a co-organiser of the protest told Reuters.
...
The protest, planned to start on Nov. 6, comes amid an economic slowdown in Europe and a relaxation of regulations for Ukrainian transport companies in 2022 by the European Union to ease the transport of goods to and out of the country invaded by Russia." (Reuters : 2 November 2023) (my emphasis)

How will this affect the vote of the incoming Polish government, led by Donald Tusk (left), to accelerate Ukraine's bid to join the EU?

Attempting to further tighten the political knots that are now tying up critical military aid for Ukraine's fight against Putin's forces in Ukraine, Putin is now using his political megaphone to blame the Hamas invasion of Israel on the West as well as the anti-Semitic mob that rampaged through Dagestan airport hunting Jews

As reported by Will Stewart,

"Vladimir Putin has hit out at Western 'scum' who he accuses of seeking to 'instigate pogroms' in Russia after an anti-Semetic mob rampaged through Dagestan."
...
Citing no evidence, he accused Ukraine and Western intelligence services of being behind the hate-filled uprising in Makhachkala, capital of Dagestan region." (Mail Online : 31 October 2023) (my emphasis)

Furthermore, according to Putin, "They [the US] need chaos in Gaza and the Middle East", . ( The Economic Times : 1 November 2023 : YouTube) 

 The Economic Times : 1 November 2023 : YouTube 

And as Putin throws his political weight in support of Hamas and against Israel, Paul Kirby reports that,

"Russia bombarded 118 Ukrainian towns and villages in 24 hours, more than on any other day this year, says Ukrainian Interior Minister Ihor Klymenko (left).

He said 10 of Ukraine's 27 regions had come under attack and the onslaught had caused deaths and injuries.

Many of the communities hit were near the front lines in the east and south." (BBC News: 2 November 2023) (my emphasis)

More ominously, as reported by as reported by Andrew Osborn (right),

"President Vladimir Putin on Thursday signed a law withdrawing Russia's ratification of the global treaty banning nuclear weapons tests, a step condemned by the organisation which promotes adherence to the landmark arms control pact.
...
.. some Western arms control experts are concerned that Russia may be inching towards a nuclear test to intimidate and evoke fear amid the Ukraine war.

Putin said on Oct. 5 that he was not ready to say whether or not Russia should resume nuclear testing after calls from some Russian security experts and lawmakers to test a nuclear bomb as a warning to the West." (Reuters : 2 November 2023) (my emphasis)

Euronews : 2 November 2023 : YouTube

Has the Israeli - Hamas war now emboldened Putin in his war with Ukraine?

 

(to be continued)

The Kremlin vultures have now landed.

The war between Israel and Hamas continues to dominate the attention of the international world, to the obvious delight of Putin.

Furthermore, as reported by Mared Gwyn Jones,

"The EU’s diplomatic front in support of Ukraine has recently shown signs of unravelling, with Hungarian President Viktor Orbán seen cosying up to Russian President Vladimir Putin during a recent visit to China. (left: Robert Fico and Victor Orban)
...
The newest of the bloc’s 27 heads of state Robert Fico - sworn in as Slovakia's Prime Minister just in time for the EU summit on Wednesday - announced hours ahead of the summit he would halt his country’s military aid to Ukraine, following up on promises made during his electoral campaign. Fico leads a coalition government that includes a pro-Russian far-right party." (Euro News : 26 October 2023) (my emphasis)

However, Mared Gwyn Jones also reports that,

"EU leaders aimed to ensure Ukraine doesn’t slip from the top of the political agenda as they gathered in Brussels on Thursday for a summit set to be dominated by the crisis engulfing the Gaza strip.
...
[EU] leaders stressed the need to maintain attention on the other war on Europe’s doorstep, warning that distraction from Ukraine would play into the hands of the Kremlin.

“This should not take our attention away from Ukraine, this is exactly what Putin wants,” European President Roberta Metsola warned as she arrived for the meeting." (ibid Mared Gwyn Jones)

 Ominously however,  as reported by Juliana Cruz Lima (left) and Will Stewart,

"This is the chilling moment Russia launched a nuclear missile capable of a blast 100 times more powerful than Hiroshima in an apocalyptic attack drill on the West.

The Sun : 26 October 2023

"Today's simulated exercises involved the launch of a Yars intercontinental ballistic missile from the Plesetsk cosmodrome in northern Russia.
...
The drills assumed a response to an enemy nuclear strike.

Russian propaganda has been stressing a supposed nuclear threat - for which there is no evidence - from the West." (The Sun : 26 October 2023) (my emphasis)

This shaking of his 'nuclear' fist against the West is, no doubt, due to the problems that Putin is having to replace the hundreds of Russian soldier being killed on a daily basis by Ukraine's armed forces.

As reported by Tim McNulty (left),

"Vladimir Putin is reportedly squeezing Russia's sizeable Asian minority communities to feed his armed forces with fresh recruits.

The US-based think tank Institute for the Study of War reports that minor crimes involving Asian migrants can now see the perpetrator conscripted and forced into military service....

"[Russian Internal Affairs (MVD) Minister] Kolokoltsev defended recent Russian law enforcement mobilisation raids on migrant communities and claimed that Russian law enforcement is enforcing standard legal norms." (Express : 25 October 2023) (my emphasis)

As also reported by Vitaly Shevchenko (right),

"The Russian defence ministry has been recruiting prisoners to fight in Ukraine, apparently taking over from the Wagner mercenary group which was the first to adopt the practice last year.
...
Similarly to Wagner's prisoner units, Storm-Z detachments are reportedly often treated as an expendable force thrown into battle - with little consideration for the lives of their servicemen.

There are also indications that members of other army units can be sent to Storm-Z detachments as punishment for violations such as insubordination or drunkenness." (BBC News : 26 October 2023) (my emphasis)

More insidious, however, as reported by Alexander Butler and Maira Butt (right),

"Russian troops have been executed for retreating from Putin’s offensive in the eastern city of Avdiivka, Donetsk, according to the White House.

“We have information that the Russian military has been actually executing soldiers who refuse to follow orders,” White House spokesperson John Kirby told a media briefing on Thursday.

Ukrainian forces have been repelling the Russian onslaught on the frontline in Donetsk for several weeks since mid-October.

It comes as the Russian Army has been forced to regroup while suffering over 400 casualties a day in a drive to capture the eastern town, Kyiv said." (The Independent : 27 October 2023) (my emphasis)

The Economic Times : 27 October 2023 : YouTube

 Unexpectedly, as reported by Will Stewart,

"The Kremlin has issued an extraordinary denial to the 'lies' that Vladimir Putin, 71, had 'died at his luxury Valdia forest palace' - amid claims a 'coup' was underway in Moscow.

This comes after a Telegram channel, which has claimed for months the Russian leader had cancer and was terminally ill, announced that Putin had died.  

It further claimed that a 'coup' was underway in Russia as Putin's inner circle would be trying to pass off his 'body double' as the real president.

But Putin's spokesman Dmitry Peskov (left) told state media RIA Novosti that the report was an 'absurd information canard'. (Mail Online : 27 October 2023) (my emphasis)

That Putin's Kremlin mouthpiece, Dmitry Peskov,  has had to deny Putin's demise poses important questions.

The possibility that a Kremlin 'coup' is underway is somewhat reminiscent of the politburo turmoil that took place on the death of Stalin.

Sky News Australia : 24 October 2023 : YouTube

So whilst the Kremlin is being given some breathing space in its war with Ukraine as the eyes of the world is now being focused on the war between Israel and Hamas, Putin's demise will throw the body politic of Russia into an horrendous turmoil from which it cannot escape.

No longer are the Kremlin vultures circling around the ailing body of Putin.

The Kremlin vultures have now landed.   

UPDATE 1 : 30 October 2023 : 08.47 : 

 Lidia Kelly (left) reports that,

"[Shoigu] said, Russia's move to revoke its ratification of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty did not mean the end of the agreement, and Russia was not lowering its threshold for the use of nuclear weapons.
...
"We are only seeking to restore parity with the United States, who have not ratified this treaty," Russia's RIA news agency quoted Shoigu as saying. "We are not talking about its destruction."

Shoigu said that Moscow was ready for talks on the post-conflict settlement of the Ukraine crisis on further 'co-existence' with the West, but that Western countries needed to stop seeking Russia's strategic defeat.

Making clear the conditions for such talks were not in place yet, Shoigu said: "It is also important to ensure equal relations between all the nuclear powers and permanent United Nations Security Council members who carry special responsibility for upholding peace and global stability." (Reuters : 30 October 2023) (my emphasis)

It is interesting to note that Shoigu's statement about Putin "not lowering [his] threshold for the use of nuclear weapons" seems to rather fly in the face of Putin's recent shaking of his 'nuclear' fist against the West.

Furthermore, why is Shoigu suddenly pushing for talks on a "post-conflict" settlement?  

Echoes of the internal politburo 'coup' immediately after the death of Stalin is beginning to ring loud. 

No doubt Nikolai Patrushev (cf: image below), Secretary of the Security Council of Russia, and Alexander Bortnikov (cf: image below), Head of the FSB, are now particularly closely watching their backs.

The Kremlin vultures have, indeed, landed!  

                       (left to right : Sergei Shoigu, Valery Gerasimo, Nikolai Patrushev, Viktor Zolotov)

                     (left to right: Sergey Naryshkin, Sergei Lavrov, Valentina Matviyenko, Alexander Bortnikov)

 

 

 

(to be continued)

Putin's desperation to stave off his imminent failure in Ukraine.

The current war between Israel and Hamas, that almost immediately tipped the Middle East into a conflagration that would have set off WW3, has only marginally subsided.

Putin's war with Ukraine, and Hamas' war with Israel, still balances the world on a 'knife edge' in setting off  WW3.

In the words of US President Biden,

"You know, the assault on Israel echoes nearly 20 months of war, tragedy and brutality inflicted on the people of Ukraine. People that were very badly hurt since Putin launched his all-out invasion. We’ve not forgotten the mass graves, the bodies found bearing signs of torture, rape used as a weapon by the Russians, and thousands and thousands of Ukrainian children forcibly taken into Russia, stolen from their parents. It’s sick.

Hamas and Putin represent different threats, but they share this in common. They both want to completely annihilate a neighboring democracy, completely annihilate it. Hamas’ stated purpose for existing is the destruction of the state of Israel and the murder of Jewish people.  (CNN : 19 October 2023) (my emphasis) 

CNN : 20 October 2023 : YouTube

Against the backdrop of the war between Israel and Hamas, Charlie Bradley (left) informs us that,

"Russia has suffered another huge setback after a weapons depot supplying the country's Black Sea Fleet was hit by a missile strike.

Images circulating on social media show a thick plume of smoke billowing into the sky following the devastating strike in Tsukrovaya Golovka, near occupied-Sevastopol." (Daily Express on MSN.com : 20 October 2023) (my emphasis)

 

 More significantly, 

"Ukrainian forces have advanced on the Dnipro River onto the opposite bank, crossing into Russian-occupied territory, Russian sources have claimed.

A prominent Russian milblogger ‘Rybar’, aka Mikhail Zvinchuk, claimed Ukrainian troops pushed through Russian defences as they landed on the east bank of the Dnipro river.

He claimed they temporarily occupied the village of Poyma and positions on the northern outskirts of Pishchanivka on the afternoon of 17 October." (Holly Evans,Maryam Zakir-Hussain and Tara Cobham : The Independent : 21 October 2023) (my emphasis)

Hindustan Times : 2o October 2023 : YouTube

As also reported by Matthew Sedacca,

"Ukrainian forces ramped up their attacks on Russian-held territory in the south while holding off Moscow’s assaults on the eastern town of Avdiivka, according to military experts and officials.

The Ukrainian military broke through the enemy lines after intensified assaults across the Dnipro River, near the southern city of Kherson.  
...
“Ukrainian actions appear to be larger than previously observed tactical raids,” the think tank Institute for the Study of War said in a report. (New York Post on MSN.com : 21 October 2023) (my emphasis)

More disconcerting for Putin, Martin Fornusek reports that,

"Germany is allocating an additional 200 million euros ($210 million) for the reconstruction of Ukraine, the German Press Agency (DPA) reported on Oct. 21, citing Germany's State Secretary for Development Jochen Flasbarth. " (Kyiv Independent : 21 October 2023) (my emphasis)

This follows on from US President Biden re-affirming that,

"On Ukraine, I’m asking Congress to make sure we can continue to send Ukraine the weapons they need to defend themselves and their country, without interruption. So Ukraine can stop Putin’s brutality in Ukraine. They are succeeding." (ibid : CNN : 19 October 2023)

Is it any wonder, as reported by Connor Surmonte, that,

"Vladimir Putin sparked fresh World War 3 concerns this week after the Russian leader was spotted with a nuclear briefcase during a rare visit to China, RadarOnline.com can report.

In a concerning development to come as tensions between Russia and the world remain at an all-time high due to Putin’s ongoing war in Ukraine, footage surfaced from Wednesday that showed the Russian leader with a nuclear briefcase as he met with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing." (Radar Online on MSN.com : 21 October 2023) (my emphasis)

What message was Putin trying to convey to the world and to President Xi Jinping by this public display of his 'nuclear button'?

CRUX : 19 October 2023 : YouTube

Dipanjan Roy Chaudhury is correct when he states that,

 "Russia should adopt a cautious approach towards China as Beijing is attempting to take advantage to become the senior partner in the relationship, a concept that Moscow has never been comfortable with.

Russia’s strategic dependence on China has only grown since the war...." (The Economic Times : 19 October 2023) (my emphasis)

Underscoring the fact that Xi Jinping is now the senior partner in the Russia/China duet, Simone McCarthy and Nectar Gan report that,

"Vladimir Putin and Chinese leader Xi Jinping discussed the conflict in the Middle East during a meeting on the sidelines of the Belt and Road Forum in Beijing Wednesday, according to the Russian leader – who said “common threats” brought the two countries closer.
...
“We discussed in detail the situation in the Middle East,” Putin said in a press conference. “I informed Chairman (Xi) about the situation that is developing on the Ukrainian track, also quite in detail.”

“All these external factors are common threats, and they strengthen Russian-Chinese interaction,” Putin added." (CNN on MSN.com : 19 October 2023) (my emphasis)

Putin's desperation to 'put on a brave face' in light of the current successful counter attacks of Ukraine's forces against the Russian army is on full public display.

Showing the world his 'nuclear' button will not diminish Putin's desperation to stave off his imminent failure in Ukraine.   

 

 

 

(to be continued)

Putin fails to deflect the eyes of the world from his war with Ukraine

 Alexander Motyl (left) writes that,

"In the past, wars divided Ukrainians and Jews. Today, war has made Ukraine and Israel into natural allies and friends.

And not just because the enemy of my enemy is supposedly my friend. But because both nations face similar existential threats from equally hostile forces — Russia in the Ukrainian case, and the unholy coalition of Hamas, Iran, Syria, and Russia in the Israeli case.
.....
Both Ukraine and Israel face identical existential threats from terrorist states and organizations. And Russia is central to both wars. It is of course Russia that re-invaded Ukraine and launched an all-out war on Feb. 24, 2022, and it is Russia that maintains good-neighborly relations with Hamas, Iran and Syria. " (Daily News : 16 October 2023) (my emphasis) 

 

CNN : 11 October 2023: YouTube

 As Pjotr Sauer (left) reports,

"Israel’s prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, has long portrayed himself as a friend of Vladimir Putin.
....
Putin, too, has over the years cast himself as a loyal ally of the Israeli state, promoting cultural ties and visa-free travel between the two countries.
....
But after the worst attack on Israel in decades, the much-touted friendship appears to have vanished.

....
Four days after the start of Hamas’s surprise attack, Putin is yet to call Netanyahu, while the Kremlin has not published a message of condolence to the country, a diplomatic gesture of goodwill that Russia routinely sends out to global leaders following deadly incidents on their soil." (The Guardian : 12 October 2023) (my emphasis)

And whilst Putin has yet to send a message of condolence to Israel, Volodomyr Zelensky issued a video message after Hamas' surprise attack on Israel on the 7 October.

"Today the whole world has seen the horrific footage from Israel - footage of terrorists abusing women and men, taking even the elderly hostage without mercy.
.....
When such a terrorist attack occurs, everyone who values life must stand in solidarity. We in Ukraine are prticularly sensitive to what has happened.
.....
Let the value of human life and the intolerance of terror, be the principles that will finally unite the whole world." (cf video below)

 Hindustan Times : 8 October 2023 : YouTube

As also reported by Alice Scarsi (right),

"Russia has been accused of helping Hamas terrorists by providing them with tactical knowledge and weapons.

Kyrylo Budanov (left), the chief of the Main Directorate of Intelligence of Ukraine's Defence Ministry, argued Tehran and Moscow's involvement in the conflict between Hamas and Israel mirrors their role in the war in Ukraine.
....
He also noted how Palestinian militants employed tactics reminiscent of the Ukrainian war during their assault on the weekend, using for example FPV drones against armoured vehicles." (Express : 13 October 2023) (my emphasis)

Against the backdrop of Israel's war against Hamas, Vishwam Sankaran and Alex Ross report that,

"Russia has lost 127 tanks, 239 armoured personnel vehicles (APVs) and 161 artillery systems in a week, Kyiv has said as Vladimir Putin launches a sustained assault in the east of Ukraine.

Moscow’s forces lost eight tanks, 25 APVs and 33 artillery systems in the past day, Ukraine’s General Staff said on Sunday." (The Independent : 16 October 2023) (my emphasis)

As also reported by David Brennan (right),

"The attempted Russian offensive on the fortified eastern Ukrainian city of Avdiivka appears to have been a costly failure for Moscow, with the Ukrainian military claiming to have killed thousands of Moscow's troops and destroyed hundreds of pieces of military equipment in several days of intense fighting.

The spokesperson for Ukraine's eastern force grouping—known as the Tavriisk Group—said this weekend that Russian offensive activity around the strategic Donetsk city had eased after last week's failed encirclement effort there." (Newsweek : 16 October 2023) (my emphasis)

Could this be why, as reported by Yohannes Lowe and Sammy Gecsoyler,

"Russia’s foreign minister [Lavrov (left)] is in Beijing ahead of a visit by Vladimir Putin to the Chinese capital and will then go to North Korea." ? (Microsoft Start (Guardian article) : 16 October 2023) (my emphasis)

As reported by Matt Murphy,

"US officials have accused North Korea of supplying vast amounts of military hardware to Russia for use in Ukraine.

Pyongyang has supplied up to 1,000 containers of "equipment and munitions" in "recent weeks", National Security Council Spokesperson John Kirby said.
...
Last month, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un visited Russia to discuss potential military cooperation." (BBC News : 14 October 2023) (my emphasis)

For all his bluster about Ukraine's counter-offensive 'failing', Putin seems now to be running cap-in-hand to Chinese president Xi Jinping and North Korea's president Kim Jon Un for more help with military supplies.

This will not stem his defeats on the battleground of his war with Ukraine.

Underscoring this failure of Putin,  Katelyn Caralle (left) reports that,

"'Are the wars in Israel and Ukraine more than the United States can take on at the same time?' CBS News' Scott Pelley asks Biden in a clip released ahead of the program airing.

'We're the United States of America for God's sake. The most powerful nation in the history – not in the world – in the history of the world, the history of the world,' the president replied.

'We can take care of both of these and maintain our overall international defense,' Biden said. 'We have the capacity to do this and we have an obligation to.'

'We are the essential nation,' he said, adding: 'And if we don't, who does?' " (Mail Online : 15 October 2023) (my emphasis)

No matter how much he tries, Putin will not deflect the eyes of the world from his war with Ukraine.

 

 

 

(to be continued)