Has Putin been inadvertently given the "nuclear go-ahead" against Ukraine by Trump?

In my blog entry of (19 Jan., 2019), I wrote that,

"Let us cast our minds back to July of 2014, when Sergey Lavrov, that dyed-in-the-wool Soviet Foreign minister, stated that,

"If it comes to aggression against Russian territory, which Sevastopol and Crimea are parts of, I would not advise anyone to do this".

He then added, "We have the doctrine of national security, and it very clearly regulates the actions, which will be taken in this case".

This is a not-so-subtle threat to use nuclear weapons to retain Crimea" (Zachary Keck : The Diplomat : 11 July, 2014) (my emphasis)

In March of 2015 it was also reported that,

"President Vladimir Putin has said he was ready to put Russia's nuclear weapons on standby during tensions over the crisis in Ukraine and Crimea." (BBC News : 15 March, 2015) (my emphasis) (blog entry : 19 Jan., 2019)

Fast forward to yesterday (2 Feb., 2019), and UNIAN reports that,

"Speaker for the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine Oleksiy Chernobay (left) has said the Russian Federation deployed 12 Iskander nuclear-capable ballistic missile launchers at a distance of 250 km from the border of Ukraine." (UNIAN : 2 Feb., 2019) (my emphasis)

This deployment of nuclear-capable ballistic missile launchers so close to Ukraine's border comes against the backdrop that,

"... Russia [has] deployed at least 28 battalion tactical groups near the Ukrainian border.

At least 28 battalion tactical groups are in readiness for immediate use on the border with our state. They are 100% staffed by contract servicemen and equipped with modern (modernized) weapons and military hardware," [Oleksiy Chernobay] told UNIAN about Russia's military presence along the border with Ukraine" (UNIAN : 2 Feb., 2019) (my emphasis)

More significantly, as outlined by Andreas Umlan (right),

1. [T]he West’s lack of reaction to the November 2018 naval confrontation. The West has done little beyond condemning the aggression ..
2. The EU has not reacted and probably will not react materially, as it did after the shoot down of Malaysia Airlines flight 17 in July 2014 to the confrontation and capture of Ukrainian sailors either.
3. The absence of any relevant international organizations on the Azov Sea or on Crimea makes Russian actions against Ukraine there less risky
4.  Since its opening in May 2018, there have been repeated reports in the Ukrainian media about the [Kerch] bridge’s engineering issues and geological challenges
5. In 2014, Kyiv stopped the delivery of water to the peninsula via the North Crimean Canal. Constantly declining aquatic reserves, in combination with a continuing dearth of energy supply, are a virtual time bomb with potentially far-reaching economic and social consequences for Crimea’s residents. (The Atlantic : 1st February, 2019) (my emphasis)

And then we have NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg (left) stating that,

“NATO does not have any intention to deploy new land-based nuclear weapons to Europe,” Stoltenberg said in an interview in the Norwegian capital.

“We don’t have to mirror what Russia does. But at the same time we have to make sure that we maintain credible and effective deterrence,” he said, without giving specifics on what the different military options NATO is looking at could entail." (Reuters : 1st February, 2019) (my emphasis)

This statement of Stoltenberg comes hot on the heels of Trump suddenly announcing, on the SAME day (1st February, 2019), that the US is pulling out of the INF Treaty,

"We can't be put at the disadvantage of going by a treaty, limiting what we do, when somebody else does not go by that treaty ..." (Eliot Engel and Adam Smith : CNN : 2nd February, 2019) (my emphasis)

As Engel and Smith point out,

"Russia is now violating the INF treaty by developing and deploying new missiles that could deliver nuclear warheads to European targets, including US military bases. This dangerous situation demands a robust and effective response. Instead, the Trump administration has played right into Vladimir Putin's hands." (ibid Engel and Smith) (my emphasis)

Putin now has carte blanche to deploy as many Iskander nuclear-capable ballistic missile launchers along Russia's border with Ukraine, as well as in Ukraine's annexed Crimea.

(to be continued)