Chris Hughes (left) reports that,
"Experts are suggesting that Russian President Vladimir Putin could be on borrowed time, with some predicting his downfall through assassination due to the catastrophic war in Ukraine. The 72 year old autocrat has reportedly ramped up his security measures and is seldom seen outside his Kremlin stronghold, fearing retribution from a Ukrainian hit squad, internal dissenters, or betrayal by those closest to him." (Daily Express: 15 May2025) (my emphasis)
He further reports that,
"Adding weight to these claims, Col Hamish de Bretton-Gordon (left), former head of the UK's Joint Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear Regiment, conveyed to the Mirror: "There are analysts, people who know better than I, who believe Putin is now a dead man walking, a spent force whose war in Ukraine will cause his end." (ibid Chris Hughes)
These claims that, "Putin is now a dead man walking" seem to be supported by the facts that:-
- Putin conspicuously stayed away from his own recently called "Peace Talks" in Istanbul. As Joe Stanley-Smith reported, "Russian President Vladimir Putin will not travel to Turkey to attend peace talks with Ukraine that he himself suggested, the Kremlin announced Wednesday evening." (Politico: 14 May 2025) (my emphasis),
- and at the recent Instanbul "Peace Talks" between Putin's minor acolytes and Ukraine's delegation, (i) Russia demanded Ukraine withdraw its troops from four Ukrainian regions annexed by Vladimir Putin as the price for a ceasefire, and (ii)Vladimir Medinsky, Russia’s lead negotiator, also told Kyiv that Moscow could fight for at least another 21 years." (Kieran Kelly and Joe Barnes:The Telegraph: 16 May 2025) (my emphasis)
Kieran Kelly and Joe Barnes further report that,
"Russia’s proposals were branded “detached from reality” by a Ukrainian diplomatic source in talks which appeared to end in acrimony." (ibid Kieran Kelly and Joe Barnes)"
The bluster by Vladimir Medinsky that, "Moscow could fight for at least another 21 years" falls into the same paranoid category as Putin's premier TV host and supporter, Vladimir Solovyov (left), who recently on Russia's TV angrily pronounced that,
"With the kind of teritories that you have [the UK and France] you are incapable of preserving even one square metre of land that would not be destroyed [by Putin's Russia], if you decide to get involved ..." (Russian Media Monitor: 15 May 2025: YouTube)
As also reported by Andrew Osborn (left) (Additional reporting by Guy Faulconbridge and Darya Korsunskaya),
"After Putin called for direct peace talks in Istanbul with Ukraine at a Kremlin news conference on Sunday, some ultra-nationalists were quick to voice their concerns.
A Russian negotiating team was in Turkey on Thursday for the talks, though it was unclear if they would happen, with Putin himself apparently not attending.
“Our war will continue until the complete liberation of Novorossiya and Malorossiya,” Konstantin Malofeyev, a nationalist tycoon who is married to a senior government official reporting directly to Putin, wrote in his blog on Monday, using terms that hark back to the Russian Empire and describe a swath of modern-day Ukraine once ruled by the Tsars." (Reuters: 15 May 2025) (my emphasis)
Given Putin's current paranoia about being 'assasinated' if he so much as steps out of his fortified Kremlin bunker, US president Trump's proposal of a "phone call" between Putin and himself must come as some sort of minor relief for Putin from his current uncontrollable paranoid 'state of mind'.
Sky News now reports that,
"Donald Trump has said he will speak to Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy separately on Monday in a bid to secure a ceasefire deal between Russia and Ukraine." (Sky News: 18 May 2025) (my emphasis)
Whilst this may allay the fears of Putin being confronted by Ukraine's President Zelensky, nonetheless Putin's paranoia is further increased by the fact that,
"Mr Trump said he will speak to Mr Putin over the phone. He will then talk with Mr Zelenskyy and "various members of NATO", he wrote [on X]. (ibid Sky News)
Trump, it would seem, is gingerly drifting away from Putin and towards Zelensky and "various members of NATO"
Given the 'bromance' between Trump and Putin, will Putin dare 'snub' Trump by not answering his call?
As Daryna Vialko (right) reported,
" … American officials, who met with their European counterparts in Türkiye this week, expressed readiness to impose sanctions on Russia after Moscow announced it would send a low-level delegation to the talks.
"I’m hoping that it will move next week now that Putin has failed tocome to the table. President Trump has indicated he views sanctions favorably, our European allies are very supportive, I think the moment is now," Senator Richard Blumenthal said." (RBC Ukraine: 16 May 2025) (my emphasis)
Aware of Trump viewing more 'sanctions' against Russia favourably, and mindful of the fact that the current Russian economy is, in the words of John Varga (left),
"Russia's supply of cheap oil is running out, another major blow for Vladimir Putin as he continues to grapple with a growing economic crisis. Businesses and consumers across the country are reeling under the effects of spiralling inflation and high interest rates." (Express: 14 May 2025) (my emphasis),
Putin is totally now in the hands of Donald Trump.
Putin now has nowhere to run to.
UPDATE: 18 May 2025: GMT 13:55
It has just been reported by Gabriela Pomeroy and Bethany Bell that,
"Pope Leo XIV is to meet the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, the Vatican has said after his inauguration Mass.
The new Catholic leader highlighted his concerns about the war in Ukraine in his prayer at the end of the service, saying "the martyred Ukraine is waiting for negotiations for a just and lasting peace to finally happen".(BBC News: 18 May 2025) (my emphasis)
The pressure on paranoid Putin to "negotiate" for a "just and lasting" peace in Ukraine has just increased dramatically.
The $64 question is,
"How will this affect Trump's 'dealmaking' call to Putin?"
