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Tuesday 7 May 2024

Putin is now rushing 'headlong' into a 'Black Swan' event.

Having constantly wielded the threat of unleashing 'nuclear' armageddon upon the world, Putin is now fuming in a demented fashion at the facts, as I wrote in my last blog entry, (2 May 2024) that,

(1) "And, as reported by David Hughes and Luke O'Reilly,


"Lord David Cameron (left) has backed Ukrainian strikes against targets inside Russia using British-supplied weapons.

The Foreign Secretary said it was a decision for Ukraine how to use the supplied equipment and Kyiv “absolutely has the right” to strike back at Russia.
...
On a visit to Kyiv, Lord Cameron said: “In terms of what the Ukrainians do, in our view, it is their decision about how to use these weapons, they’re defending their country, they were illegally invaded by Putin and they must take those steps.

“We don’t discuss any caveats that we put on on those things. But let’s be absolutely clear, Russia has launched an attack into Ukraine and Ukraine absolutely has the right to strike back at Russia.
(Irish News : 2 May 2024) (my emphasis)

(2) Furthermore, as reported by Al Jazeera,

"French President Emmanuel Macron said he has not ruled out sending ground troops to Ukraine if Russia breaks through Ukrainian front lines and the government in Kyiv made such a request.

In an interview with The Economist published on Thursday, Macron reaffirmed his previous statements backing Ukraine in the face of Russia’s battlefield advances.

“If the Russians were to break through the front lines, if there were a Ukrainian request, which is not the case today, we would legitimately have to ask ourselves this question,” he said.
(Al Jazeera : 2 May 2024) (my emphasis)


France 24 : 2 May 2924 : YouTube

Putin has now dramatically upped the stakes in a confrontation with NATO by,

  • "Russia has warned that it may target British military assets in Ukraine following remarks made by Foreign Secretary Lord David Cameron during a visit to Kyiv. The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that Cameron's comments were provocative and could lead to a significant escalation of tensions between Vladimir Putin and the West." (Alessandra Scotto Di Santolo :Express : 6 May 2024) (my emphasis)"
  • "European intelligence agencies have warned their governments that Russia is plotting violent acts of sabotage across the continent as it commits to a course of permanent conflict with the west.

    Russia has already begun to more actively prepare covert bombings, arson attacks and damage to infrastructure on European soil, directly and via proxies, with little apparent concern about causing civilian fatalities, intelligence officials believe."
    (Sam Jones & Richard Milne :Financial Times :5 May 2024) (my emphasis)"

More disconcerting, and as reported by The Times of India,

"Amid escalating tensions, Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered nuclear drills involving troops near Ukraine, aimed at practicing the preparation and use of non-strategic nuclear weapons, as announced by the Ministry of Defense. These drills, which also involve the navy, underscore Russia's heightened nuclear rhetoric since the onset of the Ukraine conflict." (The Times of India : 6 May 2024) (my emphasis)

The Times of India : 6 May 2024 

And, as to be expected,

"Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev (right) on Monday threatened nuclear strikes on Western leaders who want to send their troops to Ukraine, doubling down on his increasingly hostile rhetoric toward the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.
...

He pointed to leaders and politicians in the US, UK, France, the Baltics, and Poland who floated the idea of supplying Kyiv with troops." (Matthew Loh (left): Business Insider : 7 may 2024) (my emphasis) 

The fact that Poland is now responding in kind to Putin's 'nuclear' threat against it by now threatening to station 'nuclear missiles' on its soil as a counter to Putin's 'nuclear missiles' stationed in Belarus, must have come as a devastating shock to Putin.

As reported by David Averre (right),

"Russia will make NATO nuclear weapons in Poland one of its primary targets if they are deployed there, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov declared today in the latest escalation of tensions between Moscow and Europe.

The comments came after Polish President Andrzej Duda on Monday said his nation would be ready to host Western nukes, given Russia's decision to station intercontinental ballistic missiles in neighbouring Belarus late last year."
(Mail Online : 25 April 2024) (my emphasis)

Mail Online : 25 April 2024

If 'nuclear missiles' on Polish soil is driving Putin into a more demented frenzy, then Xi Jinping's visit to France must be pushing him towards a near meltdown.

As reported by Sylvie Corbet (left),

"French President Emmanuel Macron held talks with Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Monday that focused on trade disputes — including lifting immediate tariff threats on Cognac exports — and Ukraine-related diplomatic efforts.
...
Speaking alongside Xi after their meeting at the Elysee presidential palace, Macron said that France hopes China’s influence on Moscow would help to move Russia toward ending the war in Ukraine.

“We welcome the Chinese authoritiescommitments to refrain from selling any weapons or aid” and to “strictly control” sales of products and technologies that can be used for both civilian and military purposes, Macron said."
(AP News : 7 May 2024) (my emphasis) 

 AP News : 7 May 2024

Xi Jinping now has a choice to make, especially in light of Putin's latest 'nuclear' threats and China's 'seriously' wobbling economy.

China needs the EU market more than the EU market needs China.

Even more disconcerting for Putin, and as reported by John Varga (left),

"Vladimir Putin's army is facing a new crisis, after demoralised soldiers disobeyed orders and refused to fight.

The latest incident comes just weeks after paratroopers and marines refused to storm Ukrainian positions on the left bank of the Dnipro."
(Express : 6 May 2024) (my emphasis)

The 'political tectonic plates' are not shifting in Putin's favour, and his threats about unleashing a 'nuclear war' are now being met with a 'foretaste', by Poland, of what he can expect if he carries out his 'nuclear-armageddon' threats.

Putin is now rushing 'headlong' into a 'Black Swan' event.


 

(to be continued)

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