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Thursday 11 June 2015

Putin is burning all his bridges behind him.

The abyss into which Putin has stepped has finally revealed the 'Black Swan' event that he has fallen into.

Just prior to the recent G7 Summit in Germany, Deutsche Welle (DW) informed us that,

USA Verteidigungsminister Ash Carter"[Ash] Carter (left) ... [met] in Stuttgart Friday (05.06.2015) with American defense and diplomatic officials to plan a strategy to address Russian aggression." (DW : 05.06.2015)

The article further points out that,

"US Defense Secretary Ash Carter  raised his concern in February about Russia's alleged violation of the 1987 Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces, or INF, treaty. Russia has allegedly been testing ground-launched cruise missiles with a range prohibited by the treaty." (ibid DW)  (my emphasis)  

Image result for ROBERT BURNS AP National Security Writer

The Obama administration is weighing a range of aggressive responses to Russia's alleged violation of a Cold War-era nuclear treaty, including deploying land-based missiles in Europe that could pre-emptively destroy the Russian weapons.

This "counterforce" option is among possibilities the administration is considering as it reviews its entire policy toward Russia in light of Moscow's military intervention in Ukraine, its annexation of Crimea and other actions the U.S. deems confrontational in Europe and beyond.
The options go so far as one implied - but not stated explicitly - that would improve the ability of U.S. nuclear weapons to destroy military targets on Russian territory. (AP : Jun 4, 2015)

Image result for dmitry peskov




Image result for latest russian nuclear missile launchers
June 05, 2015) (my emphasis) (right : Latest Russian Mobile launcher 'Yars' missile system)

Against this backdrop, President Obama re-affirmed at the recent G7 Summit that,

"The G7 remains strongly in support of Ukraine. ....  Every member of the G7 continues to maintain sanction on Russia ... Even as we continue to seek a diplomatic solution, sanctions against Russia will remain in place ..... Our European partners confirm that they will maintain sanctions .... which means maintaining the EU sectoral sanctions beyond July ... And the G7 is making it clear that, if necessary, we stand ready to impose additional significant sanctions against Russia"



Meanwhile,

"Putin [yesterday (10 June, 2015) travelled to] Italy to visit the Russian pavilion at the expo in Milan on Russia day (the Russian Federation’s national holiday) and .. then [headed] to Rome. His itinerary [included] meetings with Matteo Renzi, the Italian prime minister, Sergio Mattarella, the Italian president, and Pope Francis, whom Putin [met] at the apostolic palace in Vatican City in late afternoon." (Wed Jun 10, 2015)



However, as
  •  

Ukrainian PM Blasts Separatists: ‘We Will Never Talk to Terrorists’ in Washington yesterday (,




"..







nominally agreed to remain within Ukraine under the Minsk peace plan negotiated in February. Leaders have previously said reintegration with Ukraine is impossible." (Roland Oliphant : The Telegraph : 09 Jun 2015)





Added to which, John Follain tells us that,

Pope Francis and Vladimir Putin"Pope Francis waited for more than an hour to tell Russian President Vladimir Putin to commit to peace and dialogue on Ukraine.

Putin kept the leader of 1.2 billion Catholics waiting for 70 minutes -- a rare occurrence at the Vatican." (Bloomberg Business : June 10, 2015)

Is it any wonder that their meeting got off to a chilly start?
(to be continued)

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