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Thursday 5 January 2017

Will a president Trump give Putin the "green light" to complete his invasion of Mariupol?

As the day draws closer when Donald Trump will receive the keys to the White House and the Oval Office, the "tweet" diplomacy of Trump continues to confound and scare many, especially in his growing 'spat' with US Intelligence agencies over Putin's interference in the US presidential elctions.

yet another Trump "tweet", in which he disparaged the US Intelligence Agencies that will soon be under his command, hit the internet ether.



And then, at 4:22 am (US Time) yesterday morning Trump tweeted yet again, only this time, as reported by Julian Borger,

"Leading Republicans broke with Donald Trump on Wednesday after the president-elect appeared to put more faith in WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange than in US intelligence agencies.

The sharp differences on a highly charged national security issue are the latest sign that matters of intelligence and policy towards Russia reflect a deep fault line in Trump’s relationship with the Republican party establishment." (The Guardian : Thursday 5 January 2017) (my emphasis)


As reported by Steve Benen,

"John McCain (pic: right) and Lindsey Graham (pic: left) are backing off of their push for a select committee on cybersecurity after Russian interference in the election, bowing to the political reality that the Senate Republican Conference largely does not back their idea. […]

...McCain said he’d spoken to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) about the matter. McConnell prefers to use the Intelligence Committee to spearhead the cyber investigation, and McCain said their discussions had done little to move the GOP leader. “He said he doesn’t think we need it,” McCain said." (MSNBC : 04/01/17) (my emphasis)

John McCain, a staunch supporter of Ukraine, and Chairman of the US Armed Services Committee, must now be weighing up his chances of getting president-elect Donald Trump to arm Ukraine with lethal weaponry against Putin's armed forces in eastern Ukraine (Donbas), a persistent call of his that has always fallen on the deaf ears of President Obama. 

The implications for Ukraine of Trump's current "tweets" are already being incorporated into Putin's next moves in his war with Ukraine.

As reported yesterday by Mansur Mirovalev (left), a Moscow-based writer and video journalist who covers wars and peace in the former Soviet Union,

"In 2013, the North Crimean Canal drew 1.5 million cubic meters of water. It amounted to about 85 percent of Crimea's drinking and irrigation water. But shortly after the annexation, Ukrainian authorities shut the canal with a hastily-built dam. 
[T]he water blockade will wrack Crimea's agriculture, economy and population of 2.3 million for years to come, according to environmentalists, irrigation experts and officials.
Chronic water shortages in Crimea seem inevitable - and may prompt resettlement of its residents to Russia, they warn.

"Hundreds of thousands will have to be relocated," Vladimir Garnachuk, political activist and head of Clean Coast Crimea, a non-profit monitor, told Al Jazeera . "Soon, we will see dust storms with salt that will move to the centre of Crimea." (Aljazeera : 4/1/2017) (my emphasis)



The critical question now for Ukrainian President Poroshenko is,

"Will a president Trump give Putin the "green light" to complete his invasion of Mariupol so that Putin can relieve the Ukrainian "water blockade" of Ukrainian annexed Crimea and, at the same time, have his land-bridge between Ukrainian Crimea and Russia?"


(to be continued)

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