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Tuesday 31 January 2017

Is Putin setting up Trump to be the FALSE knight in shining armour for Ukraine?

William Park (left) wrote in July of last year that,

“The statistical definition of random would be that two events are entirely unconnected,” he adds. “But in reality, it’s almost impossible to prove that two events are unconnected, particularly when we’re aware of so much of the discourse in the media. A random universe is hard to prove.” (BBC Worldwide : 11 July 2016) (my emphasis)

With this in mind, let us take a look at 3 events that took place from the 29th January, 2017 to the 30th January, 2017.

On 27th January Teresa May, Prime Minister of Great Britain, and Donald Trump, US President, met for discussions at the White House.

This was Donald Trump's first meeting with another head of state.

At the formal press conference after their meeting the issue of Ukraine and sanctions against Russia was raised by Steve Holland, a questioner of Trump's choosing.

As reported by David Smith,

"Donald Trump attempted to put up a united front with key ally Theresa May on Friday but stopped short of endorsing her commitment to continued sanctions on Russia." (The Guardian : Friday 27 January 2017) (my emphasis)


The following day we had the most anticipated phone call between Trump and Putin take place, a call that lasted for 50 minutes.


Prior to this tête-à-tête between Trump and Putin, 

"Republican Senator John McCain (left) felt prompted to issue a stern statement demanding the president to state publicly that [removing sanctions against Russia] .. was not in his plans and threatening congressional action were he to fail to do so. ....

"President Donald Trump's call with Vladimir Putin is scheduled to take place amid widespread speculation that the White House is considering lifting sanctions against Russia," said McCain ... For the sake of America's national security and that of our allies, I hope President Trump will put an end to this speculation and reject such a reckless course. If he does not, I will work with my colleagues to codify sanctions against Russia into law." (DW : 27.01.2017) (my emphasis)

And a day after the Trump-Putin telephone tête-à-tête,

A day after Donald Trump's first call as president with Russia's Vladimir Putin, leading congressional Republicans made clear they oppose any attempt by the new administration to wipe away U.S. penalties imposed on Moscow by the Obama White House.

"I'm absolutely opposed to lifting sanctions on the Russians," Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (right), R-Ky., said Sunday. "If anything, we ought to be looking at increasing them." (MSN News : 30/1/2017) (my emphasis)

On that same day (29/1/2017) the BBC reported that,

"More than 10 people have been killed in some of the worst fighting for weeks in eastern Ukraine.

Ukraine says seven of its soldiers died in clashes between the army and pro-Russian rebels in the frontline town of Avdiivka over the past two days.

Fighting erupted despite an attempt to renew a ceasefire last month." (BBC News : 30 January 2017)
(my emphasis)

The OSCE also reports that,

"In Donetsk and Luhansk regions the SMM recorded fewer ceasefire violations between the evenings of 27 and 28 January compared with the previous reporting period, and more between the evenings of 28 to 29 January, including an escalation of violence in the Avdiivka-Yasynuvata-Donetsk airport area." (OSCE : 29 January 2017) 


Why would Putin have his soldiers and rebel proxies in eastern Ukraine (Donbas) suddenly unleash tête-à-tête?

Is this why Trump deliberately stopped short of endorsing [Teresa May's] commitment to continued sanctions against Russia, irrespective of the threat of John McCaine to codify these sanctions into US law?

Is Putin setting up Trump to be the knight in shining armour that will end the war between Russia and Ukraine in the Donbas and, in return, have the sanctions against Russia, himself, and his 'siloviki' clique, lifted?

(to be continued)

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