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Sunday 14 December 2014

Is Putin heading the world towards a HOT WAR?

As winter begins to take hold, and the cold begins to descend upon the people of Ukraine during this time of hope for the coming new year,

"Deputy Foreign Secretary Sergei Ryabkov on Saturday blamed "anti-Russian moods" in Washington for the new bill authorizing lethal military aid to Kyiv and deeper sanctions against Russia."

"The bill, passed unanimously by the U.S. Senate, authorizes $350 million in military hardware and munitions to Ukraine, and new sanctions against high-profile Russian exporters.  The bill now heads to the House of Representatives." (VOA News: December 13, 2014)


But this bill still needs the signature of President Obama, a signature that he says depends on the EU coming 'on board' if he is to sanction more sanctions against Putin and his kleptocratic 'siloviki'. But will the EU come on board?

Already, in Merkel's Germany,

"Germans protest Western policies against RussiaAt least 3,500 people took part in [a] protest, organized by the German Peace Movement in the capital Berlin on Saturday. Press TV reported.The demonstrators marched to the presidential Bellevue palace to condemn the West’s confrontation with Russia over the conflict in Ukraine." (Iran Daily : December 14, 2014)

whilst Merkel herself continues to

CSU Parteitag 2014 - Angela Merkel "...[call] for a diplomatic solution to the conflict in eastern Ukraine. She said that the first steps had been taken with the Minsk Agreement in September and they should be built on. (DW : 13.12.2014)

She continues to "reassure Russia about closer European trade ties with Ukraine." (ibid DW)

Meanwhile, in an interview with Euronews, the leader of the French fascist 'Front Nationale', Marine Le Pen, continues to heap praise upon Putin. (14/12/2014)

And in Italy,

"Forceful and plain-spoken, [Matteo] Salvini has emerged at the same time as the 39-year-old [Italian] prime minister, Matteo Renzi, highlighting the generational change shaking up Italian politics since the fall of Silvio Berlusconi in 2011.
He is a friend of Marine Le Pen, leader of France's far-right National Front, and well-disposed to a Russian president [ Putin] who has spurred anger, and economic sanctions, in Brussels over his policies towards pro-Russian rebellion in eastern Ukraine." (EurActiv : 11/12/2014) (my emphasis)

"Salvini has become Italy's second-most popular leader since taking over the party, founded in the early 1990s as a separatist, anti-immigrant movement in the prosperous north of Italy." (ibid EurActiv) (my emphasis)

What we have, therefore, is the triumvirate of Germany, France, and Italy, amongst other former Eastern European members of the EU such as Hungary, who can easily scupper any call for increased sanctions against Putin's Russia.

More importantly, both PUTIN and OBAMA know this!

It is against this backdrop that Russia's Deputy Foreign Minisister Ryabkov said on Saturday that,

"We will not be able to leave that [i.e. new US sanctions against Putin's Russia] without an answer," Russia's Interfax news agency quoted [him] as saying. He did not say what form of counter-measure Moscow might take." (Enca : Saturday 13 December 2014)

Mikhail Yemelyanov of the Fair Russia party told reporters on Friday (12 December 2014) that,

“The decision of the US Senate is extremely dangerous. If it is supported by the [US] House of  Representatives and signed by their president [Obama], Russia must reply with adequate measures,”
“It is quite possible that we should return to the decision by our Upper House and give the Russian president an opportunity to use military force on Ukrainian territory preemptively. We should not wait until Ukraine is armed and becomes really dangerous,” the lawmaker stated.(RT : December 12, 2014)

We are now beginning to enter the stage when the Cold War that Putin precipitated can become a Hot War. 

As Stephen Szabo says,

"Russia's annexation of Crimea and support for the continuing insurgency in Eastern Ukraine mean that peace in Europe can no longer be taken for granted. For several reasons, the West's current confrontation with Russia is arguably more serious and dangerous than the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962." (Real Clear World :  


 (to be continued)

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